Difference between revisions of "D2 Base Drop"

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Recursive Probability Table
 
Recursive Probability Table
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Drops work as follows:
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For a given Equip TC, there are (usually) 4 pairs of weapon and armor TC and a 'drop' possibility.
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The probabilities (Px) are summed (S) for the whole class and a random number is generated from 1 to S to determine the drop.
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If the number generates another Equip Class, then the process is repeated.
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for Act 3 Equip A there is a total of 136.
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therefore:
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2/136 chance of weap15
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1/136 chance of armo15
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6/136 chance of weap18
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3/136 chance of armo18
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14/136 chance of weap21
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7/136 chance of armo21
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2/136 chance of weap24
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1/136 chance of armo24
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and 100/136 chance of dropping to Act 2 Equip C
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When you do the calculations recursively, you get the probabilities shown these tables: [[D2_Base_Drop_2]]
  
 
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|Act 5 (H) Equip C||85||weap81||2||armo81||1||weap84||6||armo84||3||weap87||14||armo87||7||weap87||1||armo87||1||Act 5 (H) Equip B||1530||1565||0.9776
 
|Act 5 (H) Equip C||85||weap81||2||armo81||1||weap84||6||armo84||3||weap87||14||armo87||7||weap87||1||armo87||1||Act 5 (H) Equip B||1530||1565||0.9776
 
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[[Category:Diablo II]]

Latest revision as of 05:38, 18 May 2011

Recursive Probability Table

Drops work as follows:

For a given Equip TC, there are (usually) 4 pairs of weapon and armor TC and a 'drop' possibility. The probabilities (Px) are summed (S) for the whole class and a random number is generated from 1 to S to determine the drop. If the number generates another Equip Class, then the process is repeated.

for Act 3 Equip A there is a total of 136. therefore:

2/136 chance of weap15

1/136 chance of armo15

6/136 chance of weap18

3/136 chance of armo18

14/136 chance of weap21

7/136 chance of armo21

2/136 chance of weap24

1/136 chance of armo24

and 100/136 chance of dropping to Act 2 Equip C

When you do the calculations recursively, you get the probabilities shown these tables: D2_Base_Drop_2

TreasureClass level I1 P1 I2 P2 I3 P3 I4 P4 I5 5 6 6 7 7 I8 P8 I9 P9 TotalProb DropChance
Act 1 Equip A 0 weap3 7 armo3 7 14 0
Act 1 Equip B 5 weap3 3 armo3 3 weap6 7 armo6 7 20 0
Act 1 Equip C 9 weap3 2 armo3 1 weap6 6 armo6 3 weap9 14 armo9 7 weap12 2 armo12 1 36 0
Act 2 Equip A 12 weap6 2 armo6 1 weap9 6 armo9 3 weap12 14 armo12 7 weap15 2 armo15 1 Act 1 Equip C 30 66 0.4545
Act 2 Equip B 15 weap9 2 armo9 1 weap12 6 armo12 3 weap15 14 armo15 7 weap18 2 armo18 1 Act 2 Equip A 60 96 0.6250
Act 2 Equip C 18 weap12 2 armo12 1 weap15 6 armo15 3 weap18 14 armo18 7 weap21 2 armo21 1 Act 2 Equip B 80 116 0.6897
Act 3 Equip A 20 weap15 2 armo15 1 weap18 6 armo18 3 weap21 14 armo21 7 weap24 2 armo24 1 Act 2 Equip C 100 136 0.7353
Act 3 Equip B 22 weap18 2 armo18 1 weap21 6 armo21 3 weap24 14 armo24 7 weap27 2 armo27 1 Act 3 Equip A 200 236 0.8475
Act 3 Equip C 24 weap21 2 armo21 1 weap24 6 armo24 3 weap27 14 armo27 7 weap30 2 armo30 1 Act 3 Equip B 340 376 0.9043
Act 4 Equip A 26 weap24 2 armo24 1 weap27 6 armo27 3 weap30 14 armo30 4 weap33 2 armo33 1 Act 3 Equip C 430 463 0.9287
Act 4 Equip B 29 weap27 2 armo27 1 weap30 6 armo30 3 weap33 14 armo33 3 weap36 2 armo36 1 Act 4 Equip A 500 532 0.9398
Act 5 Equip A 32 weap27 2 armo27 1 weap30 6 armo30 3 weap33 14 armo33 3 weap36 7 armo36 5 Act 4 Equip B 629 670 0.9388
Act 5 Equip B 34 weap30 2 armo30 1 weap33 6 armo33 2 weap36 14 armo36 7 weap39 2 armo39 1 Act 5 Equip A 731 766 0.9543
Act 5 Equip C 36 weap30 2 armo30 1 weap33 6 armo33 2 weap36 14 armo36 7 weap39 2 armo39 1 Act 5 Equip B 833 868 0.9597
Act 1 (N) Equip A 38 weap33 2 armo33 1 weap36 6 armo36 3 weap39 14 armo39 7 weap42 2 armo42 1 Act 5 Equip C 935 971 0.9629
Act 1 (N) Equip B 40 weap33 2 armo33 1 weap36 6 armo36 3 weap39 14 armo39 7 weap42 6 armo42 3 Act 1 (N) Equip A 1105 1147 0.9634
Act 1 (N) Equip C 42 weap36 2 armo36 1 weap39 6 armo39 3 weap42 14 armo42 7 weap45 2 armo45 1 Act 1 (N) Equip A 1020 1056 0.9659
Act 2 (N) Equip A 44 weap36 2 armo36 1 weap39 6 armo39 3 weap42 14 armo42 7 weap45 6 armo45 3 Act 1 (N) Equip B 1233 1275 0.9671
Act 2 (N) Equip B 46 weap39 2 armo39 1 weap42 6 armo42 3 weap45 14 armo45 7 weap48 2 armo48 1 Act 2 (N) Equip A 1105 1141 0.9684
Act 2 (N) Equip C 48 weap39 2 armo39 1 weap42 6 armo42 3 weap45 14 armo45 7 weap48 6 armo48 3 Act 2 (N) Equip A 1318 1360 0.9691
Act 3 (N) Equip A 50 weap42 2 armo42 1 weap45 6 armo45 3 weap48 14 armo48 7 weap51 2 armo51 1 Act 2 (N) Equip B 1190 1226 0.9706
Act 3 (N) Equip B 52 weap42 2 armo42 1 weap45 6 armo45 3 weap48 14 armo48 7 weap51 6 armo51 3 Act 3 (N) Equip A 1445 1487 0.9718
Act 3 (N) Equip C 54 weap45 2 armo45 1 weap48 6 armo48 3 weap51 14 armo51 7 weap54 2 armo54 1 Act 3 (N) Equip A 1275 1311 0.9725
Act 4 (N) Equip A 56 weap45 2 armo45 1 weap48 6 armo48 3 weap51 14 armo51 7 weap54 6 armo54 3 Act 3 (N) Equip B 1530 1572 0.9733
Act 4 (N) Equip B 58 weap48 2 armo48 1 weap51 6 armo51 3 weap54 14 armo54 7 weap57 2 armo57 1 Act 4 (N) Equip A 1360 1396 0.9742
Act 4 (N) Equip C 60 weap48 2 armo48 1 weap51 6 armo51 3 weap54 14 armo54 7 weap57 6 armo57 3 Act 4 (N) Equip A 1658 1700 0.9753
Act 5 (N) Equip A 62 weap51 2 armo51 1 weap54 6 armo54 3 weap57 14 armo57 7 weap60 2 armo60 1 Act 4 (N) Equip B 1445 1481 0.9757
Act 5 (N) Equip B 64 weap51 2 armo51 1 weap54 6 armo54 3 weap57 14 armo57 7 weap60 6 armo60 3 Act 5 (N) Equip A 1743 1785 0.9765
Act 5 (N) Equip C 66 weap54 2 armo54 1 weap57 6 armo57 3 weap60 14 armo60 7 weap63 2 armo63 1 Act 5 (N) Equip B 1530 1566 0.9770
Act 1 (H) Equip A 68 weap54 2 armo54 1 weap57 6 armo57 3 weap60 14 armo60 7 weap63 6 armo63 3 Act 5 (N) Equip C 1785 1827 0.9770
Act 1 (H) Equip B 70 weap57 2 armo57 1 weap60 6 armo60 3 weap63 14 armo63 7 weap66 2 armo66 1 Act 1 (H) Equip A 1530 1566 0.9770
Act 1 (H) Equip C 71 weap57 2 armo57 1 weap60 6 armo60 3 weap63 14 armo63 7 weap66 6 armo66 3 Act 1 (H) Equip A 1785 1827 0.9770
Act 2 (H) Equip A 73 weap60 2 armo60 1 weap63 6 armo63 3 weap66 14 armo66 7 weap69 2 armo69 1 Act 1 (H) Equip B 1530 1566 0.9770
Act 2 (H) Equip B 75 weap60 2 armo60 1 weap63 6 armo63 3 weap66 14 armo66 7 weap69 6 armo69 3 Act 2 (H) Equip A 1785 1827 0.9770
Act 2 (H) Equip C 76 weap63 2 armo63 1 weap66 6 armo66 3 weap69 14 armo69 7 weap72 2 armo72 1 Act 2 (H) Equip A 1530 1566 0.9770
Act 3 (H) Equip A 77 weap63 2 armo63 1 weap66 6 armo66 3 weap69 14 armo69 7 weap72 6 armo72 3 Act 2 (H) Equip B 1785 1827 0.9770
Act 3 (H) Equip B 78 weap66 2 armo66 1 weap69 6 armo69 3 weap72 14 armo72 7 weap75 2 armo75 1 Act 3 (H) Equip A 1530 1566 0.9770
Act 3 (H) Equip C 79 weap66 2 armo66 1 weap69 6 armo69 3 weap72 14 armo72 7 weap75 6 armo75 3 Act 3 (H) Equip A 1785 1827 0.9770
Act 4 (H) Equip A 80 weap69 2 armo69 1 weap72 6 armo72 3 weap75 14 armo75 7 weap78 2 armo78 1 Act 3 (H) Equip B 1530 1566 0.9770
Act 4 (H) Equip B 81 weap69 2 armo69 1 weap72 6 armo72 3 weap75 14 armo75 7 weap78 6 armo78 3 Act 4 (H) Equip A 1785 1827 0.9770
Act 4 (H) Equip C 82 weap72 2 armo72 1 weap75 6 armo75 3 weap78 14 armo78 7 weap81 2 armo81 1 Act 4 (H) Equip A 1530 1566 0.9770
Act 5 (H) Equip A 83 weap75 2 armo75 1 weap78 6 armo78 3 weap81 14 armo81 7 weap84 2 armo84 1 Act 4 (H) Equip B 1530 1566 0.9770
Act 5 (H) Equip B 84 weap78 2 armo78 1 weap81 6 armo81 3 weap84 14 armo84 7 weap87 2 armo87 1 Act 5 (H) Equip A 1530 1566 0.9770
Act 5 (H) Equip C 85 weap81 2 armo81 1 weap84 6 armo84 3 weap87 14 armo87 7 weap87 1 armo87 1 Act 5 (H) Equip B 1530 1565 0.9776 ]